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For volatile numbers, the geometric average provides a far more accurate measurement of the true return by taking into account year-over-year compounding Doing so is almost sure to lead to misleading numbers

Simply add up all the estimates and divide by 16 to get the arithmetic mean.

16
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For example, take the numbers 34, 44, 56, and 78
Arithmetic Mean Definition
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The arithmetic mean can be misleading when there are outliers or when looking at historical returns
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In the world of finance, the arithmetic mean is not usually an appropriate method for calculating an average, especially when a single outlier can skew the mean by a large amount It is also generally not used to calculate present and future , which analysts use in making their estimates

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For example, mean earnings estimates typically are an arithmetic mean
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Most returns in finance are correlated, including yields on bonds, stock returns, and
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Limitations of the Arithmetic Mean The arithmetic mean isn't always ideal, especially when a single outlier can skew the mean by a large amount
This is especially true for investment portfolios The arithmetic mean is the simplest and most widely used measure of a , or average
The arithmetic mean is the simple average, or sum of a series of numbers divided by the count of that series of numbers This is not very representative of the group

The arithmetic mean is 212 divided by four, or 53.

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Other averages used more commonly in finance include the geometric and harmonic mean
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This is especially true for investment